Marvin Vettori vs Jared Cannonier - Odds, Tips & Predictions for UFC Vegas 75

A pair of former middleweight title contenders will headline the UFC Vegas 75 card on Saturday, June 17, in a five-round encounter at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas.

#4th-ranked Jared Cannonier (16-6-0) will battle #3rd-ranked Marvin Vettori (19-6-1) in a matchup that could have the winner enter the UFC middleweight title picture. 

Cannonier, 39, has posted three wins in his previous four outings. The Dallas native captured back-to-back wins against Kelvin Gastelum and Derek Brunson before losing a middleweight championship bout to Israel Adesanya at UFC 276. In December, he defeated Sean Strickland on a split decision in his third consecutive main event at UFC Vegas 66.

Vettori, 29, is 2-2 over his past four fights, including a controversial unanimous decision win against Roman Dolidze at UFC 286 in March. He dropped a five-round decision to Adesanya in a title match in 2021 but rebounded to beat Paul Costa before losing to Robert Whittaker in September.

Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier Odds

New York sportsbooks BetRivers and PointsBet have Vettori (-150) as the favorite to defeat Cannonier (-125). The #4-ranked Italian opened as a -200 betting favorite to win the bout, but the odds have decreased over the past week. Both fighters possess solid striking skills, but Cannonier is a true knockout artist. However, Vettori has proven to have a strong chin and is favored to win the fight and become a top contender for the middleweight title.

Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier Betting Predictions

Cannonier seeks to stake his claim as the No. 1 contender in the middleweight division. The "Killa Gorilla" is a knockout artist with elite power in both hands and is a patient fighter who uses off-beat timing and shifting strikes to keep his opponents off-balance.

The MMA Lab product is a master feinter who is fond of testing the reaction of his foes with a combination of shoulder pumps and tempered strikes. Cannonier is adept at analyzing the defensive response of his adversaries while showcasing a confusing arsenal of fast jabs, slow punches, and powerful strikes.

The veteran striker has an effective low kick that targets the calf at a high rate. His kicking ability was on display against Adesanya, and he favors a jab and low kick combo. However, power punching is Cannonier's calling card, with seven first-round finishes and ten wins via knockout.

The Texan has a striking accuracy of 50%, with 4.00 significant strikes landed per minute. A whopping 60% of his significant strikes target the head, while 23% are body shots. Although he prefers to keep the action on his feet, Cannonier has a 64% takedown defense that will be key against Vettori, who has never been stopped in 26 professional fights.

"Well, Marvin is resilient," said Cannonier in an interview with The Schmo. "He's always ever-present in the fight. He doesn't take time off. He doesn't get tired. So, yes, on top of that, he's hard to finish. Resilient, right?"

The MMA stalwart added, "So, he has that perseverance in him too. So, if he sees an opening, he's definitely going to try to jump through it with both fist and feet and all that good stuff. But I've prepared to fight the best in the world. And I'm ready for whatever he's going to bring."

Vettori will move back into the title picture with a win over Cannonier. The southpaw is a grappling, ground fighting, and submission holds specialist with 11 first-round finishes and nine wins by submission.

The "Italian Dream" is coming off a win over Dolidze in which fans booed his unanimous decision win. But he admitted in his post-fight interviews that he needed to become a smarter fighter.

"I kind of go where they're best at, and then I still want to beat them. It's an ego thing, but it's not smart in fighting, but I'm winning, so I suppose it's okay." 

Vettori has a strong chin but went toe-to-toe with Adesanya and Whittaker, his only two losses in the last six years. Trading strikes with Cannonier instead of taking the fight to the mat might be another strategic mistake.

A brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Vettori has a striking accuracy of 45% with 4.38 significant strikes landed per minute. An eye-popping 78% of his significant strikes are aimed at the head, while 12% are body shots. His striking defense is not too shabby, with a defense rate of 60%, and he absorbs 3.65 strikes per minute.

Although Cannonier is a crafty fighter with an excellent game plan, Vettori is a tough, aggressive fighter who has proven he can throw down with the middleweight division's top strikers. But this is the end of the road for the longtime American MMA veteran.

Betting Pick: Marvin Vettori

Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier Betting Tips

The most popular bet type for wagering on the Vettori (-150) vs. Cannonier (+125) fight at BetRivers and PointsBet, two popular New York sports, is the moneyline. This bet is on the odds for who will win the fight outright, so if you back Vettori to win the contest, a $100 wager at odds of -150 will net a total payout of $166.67 at Bet Rivers. But, if you favor Cannonier to win the fight, a $100 wager at odds of +125 would net a profit of $125.

Over/Under is another popular bet type. The Over/Under is for the number of rounds the fight will last. When making a wager on the total rounds odds, you're betting on how long the fight will last. For example, by taking the Under 2.5 rounds, you're betting that the fight will end before the midway point of the third round. So, you're hoping the battle ends in Round 1, Round 2, or before the clock ticks below 2:30 in the third round to win the bet.

When and Where is the Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier Fight?

The five-round middleweight showdown at UFC Vegas 75 featuring Cannonier and Vettori will occur on Saturday, June 17, at the UFC's Apex in Las Vegas. Mixed Martial Arts fans in New York can watch the fight live on ESPN and ESPN+.